Tag Archive for 'Strategy'

Crisis Strategy?

A few days ago I received a marketing e-mail from Robyn Greenspan of Execunet that had an interesting nugget of information on business strategy.  The current economic crisis has lead some to think that they have to change their long-term strategies to accommodate the changes in the market.  Robyn, quoting Michael Porter, said that this was a mistaken approach.  Strategy is not about immediate actions such as mergers and acquisitions, aspirations to be the market leader or comprised in a mission/vision statement.  If strategy is a long-term concept, why should it change in the face of temporary economic problems?

From Fry & Killing, “Strategy is the definitive tool for building, communicating and maintaining the direction of the business.”  Communication is key.  According to Porter, if the management in the company can’t all articulate the strategy in the same way, then the company does not have one.  The strategy should guide the actions of the managers and directors in their daily decisions - specifically the ones that can’t easily be reversed - and that only happens with communication and details.

Porter outlines 5 tests of a good strategy:

  1. A unique value proposition - something that sets you apart from the competition.  Without this, you are in a race to execute better than your competitors and can never hope to win big.
  2. A different, tailored value chain - a way of delivering your value proposition that is unique and different than your competition.
  3. Clear trade-offs in choosing what not to do- in choosing what you will do, you also need to choose what you will not do, knowing the trade-offs.  You can’t do everything and not all markets, products and business systems are compatible.
  4. Activities that fit together and reinforce each other - in a word, synergy.
  5. Continuity with learning and improvement - it take about three years for a strategy to have a major effect.  Changing the strategy faster than that will prevent the company form achieving anything.  Make incremental improvements rather than large shifts. 

Sounds like good stuff but I disagree with point 5.  Continuous improvement only makes sense if the environment is changing slowly.  Strategy does not exist in a vacuum by itself.  The strategy affects and is affected by other aspects.  Fry and Killing, in their book “Strategic Analysis and Action”, break it down into internal aspects - resources, capabilities and management preferences - and the external effects of the environment.  For the strategy to be effective, all the internal aspects must fit, both with each other and with the strategy.  The strategy must fit with the external environment.

The current crisis highlights this last point.  The changes in the economy DO affect the strategy.  What should you do if your unique value proposition no longer has value in the current economic mess?  What should you do when the price of supplies and financing fluctuate to the point that your value chain can’t deliver?  What should you do when the assumptions you made in your trade-offs are clearly broken?  The answer - CHANGE! REACT! ADAPT!  Not continuously improve.  You may not last long enough.

This is not to say that your reaction should be without thought.  I am a proponent of planning and preparation.  When developing your strategy, you should be preparing for disruptions in the economy for  better or worse.  Rather than asking what you should do now, you should ask continuously what you should do if….  With that approach, the chances of being caught off guard are reduced, but not eliminated.

At the least, with a well thought out strategy, you have the ability to reassess the assumptions and “fit” of your strategy with the current economic situation and make the necessary changes.

The e-mail then summarizes with the advice “If you are not in a crisis, assume you are.”  This is just flippant nonsense.  I think what the speaker meant was “always manage well” which is as much a warning for good times as it is for bad ones.

Unaware of the Rut

Are your business processes stuck in a rut? How would you know?

I’ve been driving my daughters to the same daycare for the last several years. First my oldest, who now takes the bus to school, and now my youngest who will spend at least two more years with this daycare. We’ve moved once during these years but the final portion of the route I drove each morning remained the same. I choose this route based on the stop-lights, trying to spend the least amount of time at each light. There was one intersection in particular where I needed to cross four lanes of traffic. The light was lengthly and long ago I decided to turn right and then left at the next street. At the next street, I was only turning left so I had to wait for the light and traffic to clear. It was a short light and I never had to wait long. Then the traffic patterns changed and the number of cars turning left increased. It frequently took two lights to get the chance to turn. I got used to the wait.

Recently driving with my wife, she asked the obvious - why not go straight through the main intersection? So stuck in my habits, I started to explain but managed to stop myself. Things had changed and I had not adapted. My carefully planned route was no longer optimal. I was wasting time. I started to drive through the main intersection, enjoying a shorter over-all trip.

Its a small example I know, but applied to business, it begs review of your processes. Are your processes still optimal? Has technology changed? Are you doing things because that is the way you have always been doing them? Are you stuck in the rut of working business processes? Perhaps its time for a review.

The Law of Unintended Consequences

CF-18 in high-g pull-up
CF-18 in high-g pull-up

Akin to Murphy’s Law, the Law of Unintended Consequences is a warning against the belief that you can control the world around you. As well as the direct consequences, any action will also have other consequences which were unintended and which may be counter to the original intent.

As an example, in my early military career, I was an aeronautical engineer, a maintainer, working with CF-5 and CF-18 aircraft in Cold Lake. In the early years of the CF-18 introduction, the maintenance community became concerned with the stresses imposed on the airframes by high-g loads. Repeated stresses would shorten the life cycle of the airframe and could possibly create a flight safety issue. To prevent these over stresses, the aircraft was modified with a g-limiter which would limit the g-loads in normal operation to about 7.5g. The pilots could override this in emergencies and pull up to the aircraft’s limit which was above 11g.
Prior to the addition of the g-limiter, the maximum g pulled on any flight followed a statistical bell curve that averaged about 5g for all flights. At the high end, there was a small percentage of flights with maximum g loads above 7.5 g. After the g limiter was installed, the average g for all flights went up despite the fact that there were fewer cases of high-g maneuvers. This higher average, the unintended consequence, represented more danger to the aircraft structural life than the small number of high-g maneuvers.
How did this happen? The pilots, informed about the g-limiter, started to use it as a guide. They no longer judged how much acceleration was required, they just pulled until they hit the limiter and felt safe doing so. The statistics of the flight loads became very skewed towards 7.5g and the stress on the fleet went up not down.
What does all this have to do with business? It is just an anecdote to highlight the need to always be measuring the results of your strategic decisions and to look for the effects of the unintended consequences. In the story above, the maintenance community was tracking the aircraft stress loads and was intent on extending the life of the airframes. The analysis of the data showed that the opposite effect was occurring so action was taken - not to remove the limiter, but to better inform the pilots about the original problem so that they could use their judgement as well as the limiter.
In business, many strategic decisions and tactical actions are taken but once taken, leaders and managers need measure the results and ensure the actions are having the intended results.
MJM Consulting - helping companies grow.

Alternatives to Layoffs

If you are preparing for the downturn by cutting costs, consider the advice of Mike Elgan. In his article on “Three Ways SMBs can Survive the Economic Meltdown“, Mike highlights three alternatives to layoffs that can help reduce the overhead costs of running a business:

  1. Send people home. Companies often consider transport and associated costs as included in employee pay. Consider cutting a portion of this pay and let employees work from home.
  2. Use all the on-line tools to travel virtually and collaborate without actually leaving home.
  3. At the extreme, consider closing your office and becoming a Bedouin organization.

I like these ideas but I have to ask, why wait for a downturn?

Pragmatism Always Wins

Pick your niche and stick to it. Focus focus focus. Stand for something. Don’t waiver. Stay on message. Stay on target. Damn the torpedoes. And while you’re at it, go down with the ship.

Following the tech crash in 2001, Sun Microsystems did not change its strategy. It continued to invest heavily in R&D at a rate nearly twice as large as its competitors. It did not adapt its product lines to meet the customer demands for cheap off-the shelf products. They stuck to their strategy but they lost their competitive advantage.

Now consider the Republican move to shore up the financial system. (Shore-up is a much better description than bailout, don’t you think?) This is a clear departure from their message. It is a socialist move that is not consistent with Republican values. Does that make it wrong or is it more likely that these extraordinary times do not fit nicely with the policies of any political party. New thinking is required because sticking to the message in times like these does not make sense.

Being dogmatic about your strategy in the face of external changes that affect your business is wrong. Predict, plan, adapt is better advice. There are things that happen to businesses that require you to change. Being stuborn and dogmatic about it won’t help you. In these cases, pragmatism always wins.

Thanks to Seth Godin for getting me on the soap box.

No Strategy Survives Contact with the Market

The recent collapses of the financial markets highlights the existence of change as a force of nature in the business world. Change happens. All the time. If stability doesn’t exist, it doesn’t make sense to plan strategy around stable business markets.

To paraphrase Helmuth von Moltke the Elder, the Chief of Staff of the German Army in the 1800’s: no strategy survives contact with the market. Rather than indicating that strategy is pointless, the comment is meant to show that strategy must react to changes in the market. It must be fluid rather than fixed, open-minded rather than dogmatic. It is a game of options and optimization.

The key, then, to effective strategy development is to ensure you have options and contingency plans and that you are continuously working to develop and optimize these plans. To quote Moltke again, “Plans are nothing, Planning is everything”. The essence of this thought is that the plan will invariably change before it is completed so don’t concentrate on the plan, concentrate on the processes of planning. The plan will be obsolete as soon as you e-mail it.